A NEW poll by People Polling for GB News has put Labour 20 points clear of the Conservatives, who have fallen to third place behind Reform UK.
The results, which have been drawn from a survey of 1,230 people, have Reform UK in second place on 20 per cent, 16 points behind the Labour Party who have fallen slightly, just days before the election.
But the results also show only a minority of voters think Britain will be in safe hands with a Labour government, with 43 per cent believing that Keir Starmer will not be a safe pair of hands for the country, compared to 32 per cent who do.
Professor of Politics and International Relations Matt Goodwin told GB News: “This is yet more evidence of a broader point I have made throughout this campaign – there is simply no mass public enthusiasm for the opposition Labour Party.
“While Labour is certainly ahead in the polls, only a minority of voters are genuinely excited, enthusiastic, and supportive of the party, its leader, and policies. This suggests to me that the likely incoming Labour government, faced with a constrained economy and widespread public disillusionment, will likely be unpopular very quickly.”
The results also show a way ahead for the Conservatives following what looks to be an extremely bleak night for them, with 35 per cent of 2019 Conservative voters saying they want the party to head in a more conservative direction.
Thirteen per cent say the party should head in a more liberal direction and 17 per cent prefer the current direction of travel, while the rest say they do not know.
“These findings suggest that a plurality of the party’s former voters would like to see the party, after the election, move in a more conservative rather than liberal direction, which should influence the thinking of the Conservative Parliamentary Party if they are serious about getting back in touch with their former voters, particularly those who handed them an 80-seat majority in 2019,” added Professor Goodwin.
The results also indicate little tribal loyalty in British politics, with half the country saying they are only “lending their party of choice their vote”. Only 20 per cent said they were voting loyally.
“Interestingly, nearly 60 per cent of Labour voters say they are ‘lending’ Labour their vote, which underlines the challenge Keir Starmer has. This suggests that while Labour might be dominant in the polls, this support may well turn out to be fleeting.”
One reason for the large change in votes could be that only one in four voters think the outcome of the election will make a “big difference” to their lives.
Only 24 per cent of voters agreed with the statement that the party that wins the election will make a “big difference” compared to 28 per cent who think it will make a “small difference” and one fifth who believe it will make “no difference at all”.
“This is a reminder that apathy and disillusionment remain widespread in the country, as does the feeling, held by many, that politics actually makes little meaningful difference to people’s lives,” added Prof Goodwin.
