LONDON FIRMS TOP OF THE TREE HEADING INTO CHRISTMAS

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Business confidence in London rose nine points during November to 56%, according to the latest Business Barometer from Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking – conducted between 1st-15th November, before the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement announcement on Wednesday 22nd November.

Companies in the capital reported higher confidence in their own business prospects month-on-month, up four points at 60%. When taken alongside their optimism in the economy, up 15 points to 53%, this gives a headline confidence reading of 56% – the highest level out of all UK regions and nations.

London’s businesses identified their top target areas for growth in the next six months as evolving their offer (37%), diversifying into new markets (37%) and investing in their team (35%).

The Business Barometer, which surveys 1,200 businesses monthly, provides early signals about UK economic trends both regionally and nationwide.

A net balance of 46% of businesses in the region expect to increase staff levels over the next year, up 11 points on last month.

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Overall UK business confidence rose three points in November from 39% to 42%, the third consecutive monthly increase, while firms’ outlook on the overall UK economy increased four points to 38%. Businesses’ optimism in their own trading prospects also continued the upward trend for the second consecutive month, rising three points to 48%.

Companies’ hiring intentions reached their highest level since May 2022, with 35% of firms intending to increase staff levels over the next 12 months, up three points month-on-month.

London was the most confident region in the UK, followed by the North West (54%), Yorkshire and the Humber (50%) and the North East (48%). Companies in the North West reported the biggest uptick in business confidence, increasing 20 points month-on-month to 54%.

Firms in the services industry reported an increase in confidence to 46% (up three points), the highest level for over two years (since September 2021), reflecting broad-based optimism in the sector. Retail confidence also rose for a second month to 42% (up five points), while sentiment among manufacturing firms reached a five-month high of 45% (up nine points) in contrast with recent shortfalls. Construction firms’ confidence improved for the first time in three months to 35% (up four points), but this still lags other sectors.